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WYC Standings/Quarterfinal Matchups [R]


sstackho

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In the Korea - USA match, Paraguay scored. :) I thought the Korea match was up first.

Well, Paraguay scoring over Germany isn't great for us, but Group F's scenarios are so farfetched that it should make little difference anyway. But at the moment, it means Germany is out.

		

[b]If current results stand:[/b]		


Group A		


FT	0	United Arab Emirates

	0	Burkina Faso


FT	1	Slovakia

	0	Panama


Group B		


FT	3	Argentina

	1	Mali


FT	1	Spain

	0	Uzbekistan


Group C		


FT	2	Brazil

	3	Australia


FT	1	[b]Canada[/b]

	0	Czech Republic


Group D		


45'	0	Colombia

	0	England


11:30am	0	Egypt

EST Fr	0	Japan


Group E		


45'	0	Saudi Arabia

	0	Côte d'Ivoire


11:30am	0	Ireland Republic

EST Fr	0	Mexico


Group F		


11:30am	0	Korea Republic

EST Fr	0	United States


45'	0	Germany

	1	Paraguay


[b]Round of 16 would be:[/b]		


Burkina Faso		

[b]Canada[/b]		


Korea Republic		

Spain		


Côte d'Ivoire/Ireland Republic

Egypt		


Australia		

Japan		


Colombia

United Arab Emirates


Brazil

Slovakia


Paraguay

Ireland Republic/Côte d'Ivoire


Argentina

United States

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C'mon results... show FT, please show FT.... Woo-hoo, there's two FTs! Come on, Ivory Coast, still showing 90'.... Great time for the FIFA match page to go down... Woo-hoo! FT!

So it comes down to this. Canada needs Mexico to draw or lose to Ireland, OR it needs Egypt to beat Japan. Either result, and we're in. Group F is irrelevant.

I recalculated my probabilities. If anyone can find betting lines on these matches, I could update it to realistic probabilities. :)

Group D

The probability that Japan loses is 37.5%.

Group E

The probability that Mexico do not win is 62.5%.

Group F

The 3rd place team in Group F will finish ahead of Canada.

Probability of Canada qualifying

The probability that Canada qualifies via Group D results is 37.5%.

The probability that Canada qualifies via Group E results is 62.5%.

The probability that Canada qualifies via either group's results is 37.5% + 62.5% - 37.5% * 62.5% = 76.6%.

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Group D

Columbia - England DRAW 0-0 FT

Egypt - Japan

If Japan lose and England do not win - Canada are in

All other scenarios - Canada finishes behind Group D 3rd place finisher

Group E

Saudi Arabia - Ivory Coast DRAW 0-0 FT

Ireland - Mexico

If neither Mexico nor Saudi Arabia win - Canada are in

All other scenarios - Canada finishes behind Group E 3rd place finisher

Looking good for Canada thus far ...

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the only chance for Canada is the japan vs Egypt game Egypt must win

Ireland must win or tie Mexico

These are the only groups as it stands right now I believe for canada to get in

Group f has been decided the winner of the USA and Korea will go thru

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Its too bad I had a the press holding for the USA result putting Canada thru with ADU oh well so far Im 2 - 1 in my choices

but i know there would be alot of ties still usa will beat korea 3 - 0

and unforuantley the JApan Egypt game will Draw as I mentioned

but I think that if anything a result may come favourable for Canada out of the ireland group "I think Ireland will have the upper hand in this one may hold Mexico to a draw 1 - 1 or a 2 - 1 result but still a draw is th most likely to happen and will probalby be the outcome there. MAny ties still to come I hope the mexico is one of them!

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quote:Originally posted by Gordon

So we know that the 3rd Place finisher of Group F will be in no matter the outcome of the second game, but we are still in and swinging in the other 2 groups. Can't be complaining - Group F was an out and out longshot at best.

I am very surprised of the upset and germany may be going home with te result of this morning if korea wins by only 1 goal and or if usa wins by 2 there are cooked somethng msut of happen in this game I find quite disturbing though oh well I would have prefereed the win by germany this morning to give Canada another chance in anothe rgorup Its left to d and e now

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The problem with Egypt - Japan is that both teams are through with a draw or a Japan win.

Japan are out if they lose, unless they score a boatload of goals in the process.

The other match isn't as bad. Both teams qualify if Mexico win, but at least they have to score a goal.

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Unforunatley that is the likey thing to happen, they will all play for a draw don't be surprised if in all the games remaining the will all tie as I mentioned now that germany lost to paraguay but still rooting for ADU to score in the 43rd minute of the 2nd half making it 3 - 0 for the states. The only problem then Germany will be going home I THINK as they lost to korea in ther first match so I think korea will advance.

Is this right if they are tied in points and + - is that the first critera or is a flip

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GOLLLLLLL!!!!!!

			

[b]Provisional Group Standings[/b]			


GF	+/-	Pts	Group A

2	2	7	Burkina Faso

5	3	6	Slovakia

3	-2	4	United Arab Emirates

1	-3	0	Panama


GF	+/-	Pts	Group B

7	4	9	Argentina

4	2	6	Spain

4	-3	3	Mali

3	-3	0	Uzbekistan


GF	+/-	Pts	Group C

6	2	7	Australia

5	1	4	Brazil

2	-2	3	[b]Canada[/b]

2	-1	2	Czech Republic


GF	+/-	Pts	Group D

4	3	5	Colombia

1	1	5	Egypt

2	-2	4	Japan

0	-2	1	England


GF	+/-	Pts	Group E

5	2	7	Ireland Republic

4	1	5	Côte d'Ivoire

2	-1	2	Saudi Arabia

2	-2	1	Mexico


GF	+/-	Pts	Group F

6	2	6	United States

4	1	6	Paraguay

2	-1	3	Korea Republic

3	-2	3	Germany


[b]Provisional 3rd Place Standings[/b]			


GF	+/-	Pts	

3	-2	4	United Arab Emirates

2	-2	4	Japan

2	-1	3	Korea Republic

2	-2	3	[b]Canada[/b]

4	-3	3	Mali

2	-1	2	Saudi Arabia

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