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Complete Homer

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Everything posted by Complete Homer

  1. I agree, but it is fair to say that it puts the league at a different sort of risk. Many people are worried about what happens when the Montreal Alouettes owner passes away, which is a legitimate concern when one person's passion seems to be what is keeping a team in business. Not that I am expecting Mr. Young to drop off any time soon, but there is inherent risk to multiple teams in the league being tied to the success of one individual. Glad the bit about Young and KW is out though. Hard to sit on that one when people were skeptical of where the money for 2020 was coming from. I'm excited to hear what sort of solution they are planning for the stadium question
  2. I'm being pedantic, but Red Hat's IPO was in 1999, which is why he was remarkably wealthy before, but he didn't just make 34 billion dollars. He probably still owned a decent chunk of the company but likely just a fraction of that total
  3. The salary figures were all estimates based on Rollins' early reporting (not necessarily saying he was wrong, but figures from 2015/2016 were probably just ballparks), or calculated from Clanachan's 10 year expenditure figure. I doubt we will get a real answer, but the otr chatter seems to reflect that 35k number, which to be honest isn't even that far off of the 40-60k estimate before Whether anything changed is hard to know, but regardless I think we can expect a gradual upward trend if things continue as is. If Calgary sells out (obviously a big if but it sounds like sales are strong so far), my rough figures of the Calgary ticket sale revenue is looking to be somewhere in the 5.5M range*, before we get into any kind of sponsorships, merch, concessions, TV money, etc. Prudently they are probably starting low but I wouldn't think a 1+ million cap is far off if they can come out of the gate strong *Assuming that the average ticket price in each of the "troops", "battalion", and "officers" sections are the average of the top and bottom ticket prices in their bracket.
  4. Concacaf claims they told Canada Soccer months ago that they were not going to give the Fury another year of exceptional standing. Which adds a whole other bizarre twist to this, especially when you remember that Pugh is on the CSA board. Was there a miscommunication between CONCACAF and the CSA? Did the CSA fail to pass along the warning to the Fury, despite Pugh's involvement? If so, was it incompetence or malice? Or did Goudie think CONCACAF was bluffing and is now trying to sell a different story to the media? Hard to say. Sandor is saying he is getting opposite and contradictory stories from multiple sides, which to me either indicates gross incompetence at communication among all parties, or someone is getting creative with the truth
  5. The issue with playing with an unsanctioned team is that the league as a whole loses its sanctioning. Which means that all players within it are banned from participating in international tournaments from that point forward. That is FIFA's (and its regional representstives) "stick" to ensure compliance USL wouldn't sacrifice the future of all those academy kids on MLS affiliates and current internationals for Caribbean teams and the like for Ottawa. They would also lose the D2 sanctioning from USSF that they fought so hard for If I recall correctly, it can also be difficult for players to get signed in a legitimate league after playing in unsanctioned leagues, since it wrecks havoc on their transfer certificates
  6. You may be right, but I'm not convinced. I recall Mr. Fath saying he would prefer to fold than go to USL after everything that happened. Especially considering none of these businesses are particularly lucrative
  7. While one part of me finds this hilarious, the other part of me is worried the Fury might fold over this. People rich enough to own sports teams don't like to be dictated to, the only way Goudie was going to switch was on his own terms Whatever you think about the Fury for skipping out on CPL, they would be a loss to Canadian soccer
  8. Whoa. While one part of me finds this hilarious, the other part of me is worried the Fury might fold over this. People rich enough to own sports teams don't like to be dictated to, the only way Goudie was going to switch was on his own terms Whatever you think about the Fury for skipping out on CPL, they would be a loss to Canadian soccer
  9. I was actually referring to Ledgerwood, who has 69 games across 4 seasons at that level of 2. Bundesliga and a longstanding career as a professional in general, as the most extreme example of how ridiculous it was to group those players as PDLers without the context of why they were there To be honest, I forgot Edwini-Bonsu ever had a sniff at 2. Bundesliga...and he isn't even on the team we were talking about I do agree that there is plenty of pie-in-the-sky thinking on this board too, but I disagree that naive optimism is the equal and opposite of vapid negativity Granted, I will admit that his previous behavior colors our interpretation of his actions. Calling anyone who wants a Canadian league a Neo-Nazi tends to leave a bitter taste in their mouths
  10. The issue is the obvious spin. Almost all the signings have USL or NASL (or 2. Bundesliga!) experience The foothills last season were not just a PDL team, it was a team that intentionally sought out pros who were willing to join them in the build up to launching the Cavalry, and walked all over the PDL in the interim. BBTB knows this, he isn't ignorant on the circumstances. Why he chooses to intentionally misrepresent and undermine is beyond me, but it is very transparent
  11. That's one way to spin 3 USL level signings and one up and comer...
  12. I sort of saw this as the next logical step after a few years. But then again, managers' jobs are to win next season, so I can't really expect any kind of clean progression like that Though it's arguable that, when you're throwing together a group of players with no prior chemistry or experience together, veterans who have been in a number of different pro setups might still be the key to short term success
  13. Mostly older veteran players looking for a last contract before moving into coaching. I had suspected that the Canadian content was going to skew young (simply because of the realities of our player pool, if you're not moving past USLish level you're usually retiring young because the low cashflow is unsustainable) and bringing in some guys with solid resumes but well past their prime seemed to be a reasonable way to establish a professional culture among the younger domestic player while being a bit more marketable We still may see some of these sort of signing. If Rollins is on point a guy like O'Dea fits that bill nicely (You can legitimately market "Former Celtic player and TFC Captain, and use him to shape the dressing room). With an N of 2 I shouldn't be extrapolating too much
  14. I agree, but I do think it is a very different way the international spots are being used than I expected. I thought it would make most sense to leverage the international spots to grab your key players to avoid running into issues with Canada's player pool. Instead we seem to be seeing, from a sample size of 2 at least, attempts to sign internationals who are playing at a low level but are overperforming (Simon Adjei scoring more than a goal per game in the Swedish 4th tier, Hoyle scoring 31 goals in 50 games in semi-pro NZ). I'm guessing it is because it's hard to attract internationals to a brand new league. In my mind, I was expecting most of the "take a flyer" signings were going to be Canadians, not internationals
  15. Maybe not. I wouldn't be shocked if they had a provisional cap that might be flexible depending on what they're able to pull off in the early days
  16. When I think about what the biggest growth demographic for CPL will be, I think of the under 40 person who grew up playing soccer at the recreational level but never had a local team or family connection to a team from the home country. They never followed the sport as a fan outside of the Olympics or the World Cup because there was no team to connect to, so they aren't familiar with some of these norms in the wider soccer world. That is a pretty big demographic that is only growing (~30% of 18 year old Canadians who played organized sports played soccer, ~40% of 13 year old Canadians). They are soccer literate, and have a connection to the game, but no connection to a fandom. They are more important to CPL than lifelong purists just because they are so much more numerous The goal should be to make that transition as easy as possible. Obviously the most important step is giving them a local club and supporting anything that creates a sense of community, but it should also mean that the competition should be relatable and recognizable to people not steeped in soccer fandoms. The lack of playoffs is already a blow to that, I think an apertura/clausera setup or multi-step regionalized leagues is confusing and damaging to the potential fanbase. It doesn't help to save a bit of money on travel if you are hurting the growth of your audience. Make it simple and make it clean. Short of a conference system with playoffs like the NHL, a straight single table is about as simple as it gets and wouldn't alienate new fans as much
  17. I meant that as more of "we have direct evidence to the contrary" for everyone but Pacific FC. We don't yet have that blatant, obvious evidence for Pacific yet, mostly just because the switch to Van Isle happened a bit late in the game and like you said they just started selling tickets. I think they will be fine too, I was just demonstrating that it was ridiculous to predict 3000 person crowds when most are already in that ballpark months before a ball is kicked It's one thing to say a club that has barely started might average 3000 attendees. It's quite another to look at a team with 3800+ SSH five months before the season starts and think they will average 3000. One is being pessimistic, the other is ignoring reality
  18. If every group has a similar conversion rate as Halifax on memberships... Halifax: 1120 members × 2.5 = 2800 SSH York: "1000+" × 2.5 = 2500+ SSH Winnipeg: 1482 × 2.5 = 3705 SSH Hamilton: 1562 × 2.5 = 3905 SSH Van Isle: 272 × 2.5 = 680 SSH, though obviously had a late start Calgary: 1026 × 2.5 = 2565 SSH Edmonton: 945 (apparently an underestimate because of the way the deposits were taken during Rally Rabbit) × 2.5 = 2362 SSH Those figures are about a month into the season ticket drive with five months to go, before they are available to the wider public, and before any single game sales or walkups. Except for Pacific they are well past the thought of averaging 3000 attendees
  19. This is where I think pro/rel and a loose definition of what "pro" means comes into the picture Minor league sports often have a hard time, but what would it look like if X struggling AHL team was playing for the chance to compete in the NHL? I think it would mitigate a lot of the stigma of minor leagues and boost overall interest in local teams. I would suspect that teams operating below the top tier would have a looser definition of professional, not really earning full time wages and eventually being regionallzed. By the time there's actually enough teams to attempt a second division hopefully there's enough centralized revenue (TV rights, sponsors, side businesses like Stadium Digital rolled in, etc) that could prop up teams from smaller communities that manage to make a Cinderella run and get promoted. If not they would have to put financial barriers in place for promotion, which isn't unheard of.
  20. It will be an interesting decade for Halifax pro sports. Going from no pro spring/summer sports to potentially 3 (CPL, NLL, CFL) in a city of 400,000 will be a bit of a shock to the market The Wanderers definitely have a first to market advantage and I'll remain skeptical of CFL actually materializing until it is official how the stadium will be funded, but it will be an interesting case study regardless
  21. Doesn't FC Edmonton own that equipment now? I seem to recall Fath naming it as one of the big ticket items he eventually just bought
  22. At his age TFC II probably makes sense. If he blows the pants off the league he has a direct route to a higher league without any transfer fee shenanigans The real trick is what happens for his second contract. If he's a promising player for TFC he can still leverage CPL into a better salary or promised utilization It's like fallow field legislation for soccer players now: if MLS isn't actively seeking to get Canadian youngsters into the lineup and turn them into something, they will lose them. No more sitting on their hands until the player retires
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