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yomurphy1

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  1. Like
    yomurphy1 reacted to canuckgbp in Tajon Buchanan   
  2. Like
    yomurphy1 reacted to narduch in 2021 Concacaf League   
    This is wild
     
  3. Like
    yomurphy1 reacted to Unnamed Trialist in World Cup Qualifying - Tickets - Canada vs Panama - BMO Field - Oct. 13th   
    Selling 10% of a total stadium capacity is simply extraordinary.
  4. Like
    yomurphy1 reacted to El Hombre in Herdman new head coach   
    If I was smart enough to register an account name of @Approve My Account Pls, I'd totally keep it.
  5. Haha
    yomurphy1 got a reaction from An Observer in Enes Sali   
    Yeah one of the funniest things was the Tomori found himself on England's youth radar because he played so well against them for us.  WHY DID THE CSA ORGANIZE THAT GAME!
  6. Haha
    yomurphy1 got a reaction from Ivan in Enes Sali   
    Yeah one of the funniest things was the Tomori found himself on England's youth radar because he played so well against them for us.  WHY DID THE CSA ORGANIZE THAT GAME!
  7. Haha
    yomurphy1 got a reaction from Olympique_de_Marseille in Enes Sali   
    Yeah one of the funniest things was the Tomori found himself on England's youth radar because he played so well against them for us.  WHY DID THE CSA ORGANIZE THAT GAME!
  8. Haha
    yomurphy1 got a reaction from SpecialK in Enes Sali   
    Yeah one of the funniest things was the Tomori found himself on England's youth radar because he played so well against them for us.  WHY DID THE CSA ORGANIZE THAT GAME!
  9. Haha
    yomurphy1 got a reaction from longlugan in Enes Sali   
    Yeah one of the funniest things was the Tomori found himself on England's youth radar because he played so well against them for us.  WHY DID THE CSA ORGANIZE THAT GAME!
  10. Like
    yomurphy1 got a reaction from El Hombre in Enes Sali   
    Yeah one of the funniest things was the Tomori found himself on England's youth radar because he played so well against them for us.  WHY DID THE CSA ORGANIZE THAT GAME!
  11. Like
    yomurphy1 reacted to Wingback6 in Stephen Eustaquio   
    Heading. No one talks about his heading of the ball it seems. From his first game for CMNT having never watched him before, it was his heading of the ball that stood out for me. Not in attack. Not in defense. But in the press. Winning those headers off of a clearing attempt is something that most midfielders never even bother with properly. But he does. Running to the ball. Running back to the ball. It's ridiculous.
    So many attacks die at that point. But less so when he is on the field. It is a rare. But valuable gift to have a smaller, more mobile midfielder who is so dominant in the air, like S. E.
    But perhaps I am the only one seeing that.
  12. Haha
    yomurphy1 got a reaction from Jedi Ram in Huge Sale on Umbro Team Canada Gear at SVP, it is being blown out.   
    I noticed a bunch of new looking Umbro gear at the game last night. I hope @Cblake is being adequately compensated. 😂
  13. Like
    yomurphy1 reacted to archer21 in Herdman new head coach   
    IMO, calling for Herdman’s head is clearly overreacting but it certainly wasn’t his best performance. To be totally honest, I’m still not entirely sure what formation we were playing. It was mentioned that Laryea was playing in midfield while in possession, almost like a 10. But then also playing LB defensively? How can you expect someone to do that effectively? It created some awkward situations for Davies/Buchanan who did not look comfortable or confident in knowing who to defend.
    I’ve also noticed for a while now that even though Davies is generally very good defending 1v1, he can fall asleep defensively when the man he is marking does not have the ball. This same thing happened to Tajon in the lead up to the goal. When his man passed the ball and ran in behind, he didn’t track the run quickly enough and then was chasing from behind and panicking. I haven’t seen enough of Tajon to know if this is common or not, but we need everyone to stay switched on and defend off the ball better.
  14. Like
    yomurphy1 got a reaction from Approve My Account Pls in Huge Sale on Umbro Team Canada Gear at SVP, it is being blown out.   
    I noticed a bunch of new looking Umbro gear at the game last night. I hope @Cblake is being adequately compensated. 😂
  15. Haha
    yomurphy1 got a reaction from CanadianSoccerFan in Huge Sale on Umbro Team Canada Gear at SVP, it is being blown out.   
    I noticed a bunch of new looking Umbro gear at the game last night. I hope @Cblake is being adequately compensated. 😂
  16. Like
    yomurphy1 got a reaction from narduch in Huge Sale on Umbro Team Canada Gear at SVP, it is being blown out.   
    I noticed a bunch of new looking Umbro gear at the game last night. I hope @Cblake is being adequately compensated. 😂
  17. Like
    yomurphy1 got a reaction from Greatest Cockney Rip Off in Huge Sale on Umbro Team Canada Gear at SVP, it is being blown out.   
    I noticed a bunch of new looking Umbro gear at the game last night. I hope @Cblake is being adequately compensated. 😂
  18. Like
    yomurphy1 reacted to dyslexic nam in Ferdi Kadioglu   
    “You miss 100% of the shots you don’t take”
    - Mahatma Gandhi 
  19. Like
    yomurphy1 got a reaction from Addona in The Road to Qatar.   
    Interesting that FM has Arfield back in the squad. Does the game know something we don't?
  20. Haha
    yomurphy1 got a reaction from Olympique_de_Marseille in The Road to Qatar.   
    Interesting that FM has Arfield back in the squad. Does the game know something we don't?
  21. Like
    yomurphy1 got a reaction from Kyle_The_Hill in The Road to Qatar.   
    Interesting that FM has Arfield back in the squad. Does the game know something we don't?
  22. Haha
    yomurphy1 got a reaction from Shway in The Road to Qatar.   
    Interesting that FM has Arfield back in the squad. Does the game know something we don't?
  23. Like
    yomurphy1 reacted to maplebanana in The Road to Qatar.   
    Alright, so I couldn’t help it but try out this simulation concept. Warning: if you hate analytics and simulations, please skip.
    I developed a MATLAB script that would simulate the Ocho 1,000,000 times, then analyzed how many points it would take to get 3rd or 4th. There are a few inputs that affect the simulation: 1) strength of home field advantage, 2) how often a draw takes place between two teams, and 3) the relative strengths of each of the teams. If, for example, you made all 8 teams equal in strength then draws would occur quite often, and teams would combine for 2 pts (1+1) as opposed to 3 pts (3+0) for any given game. And so the spread from top to bottom would be much more clustered together. Anyway, I tweaked the 3 input parameters to best match KJ’s historical analysis. This means that the simulation is not going to tell you anything different from the ‘average’ pts needed, but rather will give you an indication of the variance.
    Results:
    3rd place - 22.6 +/- 3.8 pts (2 sigma / 95% of simulations)
    4th place - 20.3 +/- 3.6 pts (2 sigma / 95% of simulations)
    What this means is that if we get 26.4 pts, we will get at least 3rd 95% of the time. 23.9 pts gets you at least 4th 95% of the time. On the low end, 16.7 pts is the bare minimum to get 4th place, and 18.8 pts the bare min for 3rd (again, 95% of the time).
    Bar plots with 2-sigma confidence intervals:

    Histogram for 3rd and 4th

    Takeaways: Win 5 non-MEX/USA home games, and 3 away games and we’re at 24 pts and basically guaranteed we’re still in it. And quite likely direct qualification. If we play for draws, especially at home, we’re playing with fire.
     
    If anyone wants to see the source code to play around with it yourself, PM me. But beware, I’m a hardware engineer by training and my code is not well written/efficient. My software engineer wife was shaking her head at my code the whole time.
  24. Like
    yomurphy1 got a reaction from Ruffian in Julian Dunn-Johnson   
    Yep. Only played friendlies with Estonia.
  25. Like
    yomurphy1 reacted to theaub in World Cup Qualifying Tickets - BMO and BC Place   
    Nothing specific.  The first match I just think they didn't have enough gates open.
     
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