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Posts posted by king1010

  1. 7 hours ago, top cheese said:

    I think if you look at the strengths of the team and the platforms herdman wants to play. You’d have


                            Cavallini.    Davies


                                   Kaye       Hutch

    davies.                                                  Lareya

                       Miller.   Henry.   James



    No Eustaquio? 

  2. 5 minutes ago, TGAA_Star said:

    Canada would get destroyed by Mexico hell even if they face USA they will lose anyway so 

    Mexico Yes, USA wouldnt be a guaranteed loss. We could beat them if we’re on our game, but they would be the favorites. 

  3. 2 minutes ago, Blackdude said:


    The last 4 paragraphs mention that CONCACAF is thinking of a new format. The format mentioned talks about 3 groups of 4 based on FIFA rankings with team winning their group going to Qatar and the second teams playing the repechage with the best of the rest.

    All three second place teams or just the best 2nd place team? 

  4. 9 hours ago, Lofty said:

    You mean finish ahead of Hondurass AND Jamaica AND Costa Rica 1 out of 5 times. Because that is what we would need to do to finish 3rd.

    And, based on fairly recent results, they are ALL BETTER than us. Even if we were all EQUAL, we'd only finish ahead of all three of them 1 out of every 4 times!

    So, emphatically, no!

    We’ll have to agree to disagree. Id take the odds of us finishing ahead of those teams just one out of 5 times. 

    give us 5 shots at the hex, and i see us finishing third at least one of those 5 times. 

  5. 54 minutes ago, Lofty said:

    20% chance we finish top 3 in the hexagonal?! That implies that if they played it 5 times, we would finish top 3 in one iteration! I haven't seen that kind of optimism since Scotland's last qualification attempt!

    I'd say if we played it 20 times Canada would finish top 3 once and even that is generous. That would make the odds 5%.

    Regardless, it is pretty clear that any advantage the hexagonal path may have is predicated on the odds of Canada qualifying automatically by finishing top 3. And you need to be wearing quite a few pairs of Canada coloured glasses to see that actually happening, particularly given Canada's sterling record playing away in Central America.

    Otherwise, it comes down to this:

    2nd place in a 4 team group also containing Costa Rica, Hondurass, and Jamaica; where Canada are the lowest ranked team.


    1st place in a much larger group where most teams have zero chance and Canada are the highest ranked team.

    Then, in either case, there are 2 play-off ties to win.

    You dont think wed finish ahead of honduras jamaica or costa rica one out of every 5 times? 

    id place money on that. 

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