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Posts posted by king1010

  1. 9 hours ago, Lofty said:

    You mean finish ahead of Hondurass AND Jamaica AND Costa Rica 1 out of 5 times. Because that is what we would need to do to finish 3rd.

    And, based on fairly recent results, they are ALL BETTER than us. Even if we were all EQUAL, we'd only finish ahead of all three of them 1 out of every 4 times!

    So, emphatically, no!

    We’ll have to agree to disagree. Id take the odds of us finishing ahead of those teams just one out of 5 times. 

    give us 5 shots at the hex, and i see us finishing third at least one of those 5 times. 

  2. 54 minutes ago, Lofty said:

    20% chance we finish top 3 in the hexagonal?! That implies that if they played it 5 times, we would finish top 3 in one iteration! I haven't seen that kind of optimism since Scotland's last qualification attempt!

    I'd say if we played it 20 times Canada would finish top 3 once and even that is generous. That would make the odds 5%.

    Regardless, it is pretty clear that any advantage the hexagonal path may have is predicated on the odds of Canada qualifying automatically by finishing top 3. And you need to be wearing quite a few pairs of Canada coloured glasses to see that actually happening, particularly given Canada's sterling record playing away in Central America.

    Otherwise, it comes down to this:

    2nd place in a 4 team group also containing Costa Rica, Hondurass, and Jamaica; where Canada are the lowest ranked team.


    1st place in a much larger group where most teams have zero chance and Canada are the highest ranked team.

    Then, in either case, there are 2 play-off ties to win.

    You dont think wed finish ahead of honduras jamaica or costa rica one out of every 5 times? 

    id place money on that. 

  3. 12 hours ago, Acid-Tone said:

    They probably offered about half of that!   Which is why it was turned down.

    They should think about the future and try selling Aboubakar or Marega and use that money to help make the David deal.   

    Saw on twitter that Porto offered 6m euros and were rejected. 

  4. 5 hours ago, BearcatSA said:

    There are 26 guys in this camp, so did they want more than that?

    As a side not, due to the tensions in Iran/the Middle East at the moment, the Americans cancelled their 25 man camp in Qatar. 

    I'm assuming they would've kept the roster at 26, just drop some of the experimental players for Cav, Johnson Kaye etc. 

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