Jump to content

WCQ - Canada vs. Honduras Nov. 13th, 2015 Pre-Game Thread


jpg75

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 642
  • Created
  • Last Reply

I'm getting a little worried about the backline situation, especially CB.  Jakovic is coming off a long injury.  We have Edgar and Lefevre as our top 2 it seems (unless Jako is fully fit, which would be surprising).  If one of DE or WL goes down, we've got a just injured DJ and a young MJ as back-ups.  A little scary.

Edit: I guess Ouimette provides some cover too ... ok, I feel a little better.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm getting a little worried about the backline situation, especially CB.  Jakovic is coming off a long injury.  We have Edgar and Lefevre as our top 2 it seems (unless Jako is fully fit, which would be surprising).  If one of DE or WL goes down, we've got a just injured DJ and a young MJ as back-ups.  A little scary.

I'm guessing Straith will be Edgar's partner, not Lefevre.  I've never been a big Hainault fan (though I think he definitely helps the team with set play attacking) but it's unfortunate that he's out.  However, I like what I have seen of James under Floro's coaching.

I don't think these will be the last roster changes, either.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Here is an interesting tidbit i researched: Honduras have 2 players taller than 5'11" in their projected starting XI (Beckeles at RB is 6'1" and Bengston at FWD is 6'2"). Both CB's are 5'11".

I assume ES are even shorter. So Haber replacing Cavallini may not be such a bad trade-off.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The bets are out:

http://www.paddypower.com/football/football-matches/world-cup-qualifiers/Canada-v-Honduras-9729805.html

What do you guys think? I think those odds are pretty realistic; slightly in our favour but close to a toss up between win-draw-win.

 

EDIT:

Mexico vs El Salvador for reference:

http://www.paddypower.com/football/football-matches/world-cup-qualifiers/Mexico-v-El-Salvador-9729799.html

Mexico the heavy favourite as expected.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Converted to decimal odds that would be:

Canada 2.37 Draw 3.20 Honduras 3.10

So we are in the zone somewhere between slight and clear favourites. 

More in the slight favourites than clear favourites I'd say, it comes out to (if I did the math right- with some rounding):

44% chance of a Canada win

27% chance of a draw

29% chance of a Honduras win.

This still means that a draw or a Honduras win is still a more likely result than a Canada win.

We almost certainly need a win here and there's only a 44% chance we're going to get it...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

×
×
  • Create New...