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WCQ - Canada vs. Honduras Nov. 13th, 2015 Pre-Game Thread


jpg75

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I'm getting a little worried about the backline situation, especially CB.  Jakovic is coming off a long injury.  We have Edgar and Lefevre as our top 2 it seems (unless Jako is fully fit, which would be surprising).  If one of DE or WL goes down, we've got a just injured DJ and a young MJ as back-ups.  A little scary.

Edit: I guess Ouimette provides some cover too ... ok, I feel a little better.

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I'm getting a little worried about the backline situation, especially CB.  Jakovic is coming off a long injury.  We have Edgar and Lefevre as our top 2 it seems (unless Jako is fully fit, which would be surprising).  If one of DE or WL goes down, we've got a just injured DJ and a young MJ as back-ups.  A little scary.

I'm guessing Straith will be Edgar's partner, not Lefevre.  I've never been a big Hainault fan (though I think he definitely helps the team with set play attacking) but it's unfortunate that he's out.  However, I like what I have seen of James under Floro's coaching.

I don't think these will be the last roster changes, either.  

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Here is an interesting tidbit i researched: Honduras have 2 players taller than 5'11" in their projected starting XI (Beckeles at RB is 6'1" and Bengston at FWD is 6'2"). Both CB's are 5'11".

I assume ES are even shorter. So Haber replacing Cavallini may not be such a bad trade-off.

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The bets are out:

http://www.paddypower.com/football/football-matches/world-cup-qualifiers/Canada-v-Honduras-9729805.html

What do you guys think? I think those odds are pretty realistic; slightly in our favour but close to a toss up between win-draw-win.

 

EDIT:

Mexico vs El Salvador for reference:

http://www.paddypower.com/football/football-matches/world-cup-qualifiers/Mexico-v-El-Salvador-9729799.html

Mexico the heavy favourite as expected.

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Converted to decimal odds that would be:

Canada 2.37 Draw 3.20 Honduras 3.10

So we are in the zone somewhere between slight and clear favourites. 

More in the slight favourites than clear favourites I'd say, it comes out to (if I did the math right- with some rounding):

44% chance of a Canada win

27% chance of a draw

29% chance of a Honduras win.

This still means that a draw or a Honduras win is still a more likely result than a Canada win.

We almost certainly need a win here and there's only a 44% chance we're going to get it...

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